Northern Iowa Panthers 71, Murray State Racers 75
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-09 · Winner: Murray State Racers
Murray State Racers defeated Northern Iowa Panthers 75–71 on 2026-01-09 in NCAA Women's play, a 4-point result. A 16-0 road team run ending at Q2 3:01 swung win probability 48% → 2%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northern Iowa Panthers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Iowa Panthers | 21 | 22 | 10 | 18 | 71 |
| Murray State Racers | 18 | 8 | 26 | 23 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 16-0 road team run ending at Q2 3:01 swung win probability 48% → 2%.
Why Northern Iowa Panthers lost
- Lost Q3 10-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 5:23 (win probability 2% → 20% for the home side).
- Shot 41.8% eFG vs a 47.8% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 13-9.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Iowa Panthers | 10–0 | Q1 7:38 | 69% → 33% |
| Northern Iowa Panthers | 16–0 | Q2 3:01 | 48% → 2% |
| Murray State Racers | 10–0 | Q3 5:23 | 2% → 20% |