Drake Bulldogs 69, Belmont Bruins 78
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-09 · Winner: Belmont Bruins
Belmont Bruins defeated Drake Bulldogs 78–69 on 2026-01-09 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q2 5:00 swung win probability 52% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Drake Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Bulldogs | 18 | 14 | 22 | 15 | 69 |
| Belmont Bruins | 16 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q2 5:00 swung win probability 52% → 90%.
Why Drake Bulldogs lost
- Lost Q4 15-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q2 5:00 (win probability 52% → 90% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 26-14.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belmont Bruins | 11–0 | Q2 5:00 | 52% → 90% |
| Drake Bulldogs | 9–0 | Q2 1:13 | 86% → 49% |
| Belmont Bruins | 9–0 | Q4 0:29 | 86% → 100% |