Illinois State Redbirds 68, Belmont Bruins 75
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-04 · Winner: Belmont Bruins
Belmont Bruins defeated Illinois State Redbirds 75–68 on 2026-01-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 7-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 6:53 swung win probability 22% → 69%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Illinois State Redbirds lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois State Redbirds | 17 | 21 | 11 | 19 | 68 |
| Belmont Bruins | 19 | 11 | 23 | 22 | 75 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q3 6:53 swung win probability 22% → 69%.
Why Illinois State Redbirds lost
- Lost Q3 11-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 6:53 (win probability 22% → 69% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 21-11.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belmont Bruins | 10–0 | Q3 6:53 | 22% → 69% |