Valparaiso Beacons 46, Evansville Purple Aces 66
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: Evansville Purple Aces
Evansville Purple Aces defeated Valparaiso Beacons 66–46 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Women's play, a 20-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:22 swung win probability 52% → 83%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Valparaiso Beacons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valparaiso Beacons | 12 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 |
| Evansville Purple Aces | 21 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 66 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:22 swung win probability 52% → 83%.
Why Valparaiso Beacons lost
- Lost Q1 12-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q2 8:30 (win probability 69% → 98% for the home side).
- Shot 33.1% eFG vs a 37.7% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evansville Purple Aces | 10–0 | Q1 6:22 | 52% → 83% |
| Evansville Purple Aces | 14–0 | Q2 8:30 | 69% → 98% |
| Evansville Purple Aces | 11–0 | Q4 9:30 | 98% → 100% |