Northern Iowa Panthers 75, UIC Flames 74
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-31 · Winner: Northern Iowa Panthers
Northern Iowa Panthers defeated UIC Flames 75–74 on 2025-12-31 in NCAA Women's play, a 1-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q4 7:52 swung win probability 80% → 14%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UIC Flames lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Iowa Panthers | 22 | 8 | 24 | 21 | 75 |
| UIC Flames | 16 | 20 | 16 | 22 | 74 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q4 7:52 swung win probability 80% → 14%.
Why UIC Flames lost
- Lost Q3 16-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q2 8:39 (win probability 69% → 21% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 9-5.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UIC Flames | 8–0 | Q1 6:51 | 55% → 81% |
| Northern Iowa Panthers | 12–0 | Q2 8:39 | 69% → 21% |
| UIC Flames | 12–0 | Q2 3:34 | 20% → 68% |
| Northern Iowa Panthers | 10–0 | Q4 7:52 | 80% → 14% |