Fresno State Bulldogs 59, San Diego State Aztecs 68
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: San Diego State Aztecs
San Diego State Aztecs defeated Fresno State Bulldogs 68–59 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 6:57 swung win probability 90% → 58%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Fresno State Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 14 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 59 |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 16 | 15 | 20 | 17 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 6:57 swung win probability 90% → 58%.
Why Fresno State Bulldogs lost
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q4 7:01 (win probability 85% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 38.9% eFG vs a 43.4% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 8–0 | Q3 6:57 | 90% → 58% |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 8–0 | Q4 7:01 | 85% → 100% |