San Diego State Aztecs 46, Colorado State Rams 44
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-28 · Winner: San Diego State Aztecs
San Diego State Aztecs defeated Colorado State Rams 46–44 on 2026-01-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 2-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q4 0:28 swung win probability 84% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Colorado State Rams lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State Aztecs | 14 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 46 |
| Colorado State Rams | 3 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q4 0:28 swung win probability 84% → 0%.
Why Colorado State Rams lost
- Lost Q1 3-14 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 0:28 (win probability 84% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 32.2% eFG vs a 48.0% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 11-4.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado State Rams | 11–0 | Q3 9:31 | 11% → 48% |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 10–0 | Q4 0:28 | 84% → 0% |