New Mexico Lobos 56, San Diego State Aztecs 73
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-14 · Winner: San Diego State Aztecs
San Diego State Aztecs defeated New Mexico Lobos 73–56 on 2026-01-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 17-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:06 swung win probability 26% → 72%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why New Mexico Lobos lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico Lobos | 16 | 13 | 18 | 9 | 56 |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 10 | 25 | 15 | 23 | 73 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:06 swung win probability 26% → 72%.
Why New Mexico Lobos lost
- Lost Q4 9-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q2 7:06 (win probability 26% → 72% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 13-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State Aztecs | 12–0 | Q2 7:06 | 26% → 72% |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 8–0 | Q4 8:20 | 56% → 96% |