New Jersey City NEW JERSEY CITY 39, Wagner Seahawks 86
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-30 · Winner: Wagner Seahawks
Wagner Seahawks defeated New Jersey City NEW JERSEY CITY 86–39 on 2025-12-30 in NCAA Women's play, a 47-point result. A 29-0 home team run ending at Q2 2:01 swung win probability 62% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why New Jersey City NEW JERSEY CITY lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Jersey City NEW JERSEY CITY | 7 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
| Wagner Seahawks | 19 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 29-0 home team run ending at Q2 2:01 swung win probability 62% → 100%.
Why New Jersey City NEW JERSEY CITY lost
- Lost Q2 1-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 29-0 run ending at Q2 2:01 (win probability 62% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 24.1% eFG vs a 29.0% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 28-13.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 21-14.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wagner Seahawks | 29–0 | Q2 2:01 | 62% → 100% |
| Wagner Seahawks | 9–0 | Q3 9:48 | 100% → 100% |
| Wagner Seahawks | 8–0 | Q3 5:34 | 100% → 100% |
| Wagner Seahawks | 9–0 | Q4 4:59 | 100% → 100% |