Mississippi Valley State Devilettes 46, Southern Jaguars 69
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-22 · Winner: Southern Jaguars
Southern Jaguars defeated Mississippi Valley State Devilettes 69–46 on 2026-01-22 in NCAA Women's play, a 23-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:44 swung win probability 69% → 96%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mississippi Valley State Devilettes lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi Valley State Devilettes | 6 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 46 |
| Southern Jaguars | 23 | 7 | 25 | 14 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:44 swung win probability 69% → 96%.
Why Mississippi Valley State Devilettes lost
- Lost Q1 6-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q1 1:44 (win probability 69% → 96% for the home side).
- Shot 30.0% eFG vs a 37.6% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 32-18.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 19-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Jaguars | 12–0 | Q1 1:44 | 69% → 96% |
| Southern Jaguars | 8–0 | Q2 9:49 | 92% → 99% |
| Mississippi Valley State Devilettes | 8–0 | Q2 0:30 | 100% → 95% |
| Southern Jaguars | 8–0 | Q3 6:10 | 98% → 100% |
| Southern Jaguars | 10–0 | Q3 0:17 | 100% → 100% |