Utah State Aggies 33, New Mexico Lobos 58
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-31 · Winner: New Mexico Lobos
New Mexico Lobos defeated Utah State Aggies 58–33 on 2026-01-31 in NCAA Women's play, a 25-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:26 swung win probability 55% → 84%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Utah State Aggies lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State Aggies | 7 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 33 |
| New Mexico Lobos | 19 | 17 | 4 | 18 | 58 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:26 swung win probability 55% → 84%.
Why Utah State Aggies lost
- Lost Q1 7-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 3:10 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 29.3% eFG vs a 42.7% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 18-4.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico Lobos | 9–0 | Q1 5:26 | 55% → 84% |
| New Mexico Lobos | 8–0 | Q2 8:27 | 81% → 96% |
| New Mexico Lobos | 10–0 | Q4 3:10 | 100% → 100% |