Utah State Aggies 56, Fresno State Bulldogs 86
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-14 · Winner: Fresno State Bulldogs
Fresno State Bulldogs defeated Utah State Aggies 86–56 on 2026-01-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 30-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:58 swung win probability 55% → 81%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Utah State Aggies lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State Aggies | 14 | 11 | 17 | 14 | 56 |
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 24 | 18 | 26 | 18 | 86 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:58 swung win probability 55% → 81%.
Why Utah State Aggies lost
- Lost Q1 14-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 2:12 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 18-11.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-6.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 8–0 | Q1 5:58 | 55% → 81% |
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 9–0 | Q2 7:59 | 91% → 99% |
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 10–0 | Q3 2:12 | 100% → 100% |