San Diego State Aztecs 73, Utah State Aggies 72
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-10 · Winner: San Diego State Aztecs
San Diego State Aztecs defeated Utah State Aggies 73–72 on 2026-01-10 in NCAA Women's play, a 1-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 8:45 swung win probability 31% → 73%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Utah State Aggies lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego State Aztecs | 21 | 15 | 11 | 26 | 73 |
| Utah State Aggies | 18 | 14 | 24 | 16 | 72 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 8:45 swung win probability 31% → 73%.
Why Utah State Aggies lost
- Lost Q4 16-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q4 6:18 (win probability 99% → 79% for the home side).
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State Aggies | 8–0 | Q2 8:59 | 30% → 61% |
| Utah State Aggies | 9–0 | Q3 8:45 | 31% → 73% |
| San Diego State Aztecs | 8–0 | Q4 6:18 | 99% → 79% |