Utah State Aggies 58, UNLV Lady Rebels 69
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-07 · Winner: UNLV Lady Rebels
UNLV Lady Rebels defeated Utah State Aggies 69–58 on 2026-01-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:49 swung win probability 69% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Utah State Aggies lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State Aggies | 12 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 58 |
| UNLV Lady Rebels | 20 | 19 | 17 | 13 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:49 swung win probability 69% → 90%.
Why Utah State Aggies lost
- Lost Q1 12-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 6:36 (win probability 82% → 97% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNLV Lady Rebels | 8–0 | Q1 1:49 | 69% → 90% |
| UNLV Lady Rebels | 9–0 | Q2 6:36 | 82% → 97% |