Grand Canyon Lopes 57, Wyoming Cowgirls 59
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-03 · Winner: Wyoming Cowgirls
Wyoming Cowgirls defeated Grand Canyon Lopes 59–57 on 2026-03-03 in NCAA Women's play, a 2-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 5:38 swung win probability 41% → 94%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Grand Canyon Lopes lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 12 | 7 | 27 | 11 | 57 |
| Wyoming Cowgirls | 11 | 13 | 20 | 15 | 59 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 5:38 swung win probability 41% → 94%.
Why Grand Canyon Lopes lost
- Lost Q2 7-13 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q2 8:07 (win probability 45% → 76% for the home side).
- Shot 38.7% eFG vs a 45.1% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wyoming Cowgirls | 8–0 | Q2 8:07 | 45% → 76% |
| Wyoming Cowgirls | 8–0 | Q4 5:38 | 41% → 94% |