San José State Spartans 52, Grand Canyon Lopes 65
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: Grand Canyon Lopes
Grand Canyon Lopes defeated San José State Spartans 65–52 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 13-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:44 swung win probability 34% → 79%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why San José State Spartans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San José State Spartans | 9 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 52 |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 14 | 23 | 16 | 12 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:44 swung win probability 34% → 79%.
Why San José State Spartans lost
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q1 1:44 (win probability 34% → 79% for the home side).
- Shot 32.8% eFG vs a 39.7% season average - a cold night.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 12–0 | Q1 1:44 | 34% → 79% |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 9–0 | Q3 9:28 | 77% → 98% |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 8–0 | Q3 3:36 | 94% → 100% |
| San José State Spartans | 9–0 | Q4 8:13 | 100% → 92% |