Nevada Wolf Pack 72, Utah State Aggies 69
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-03 · Winner: Nevada Wolf Pack
Nevada Wolf Pack defeated Utah State Aggies 72–69 on 2026-03-03 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 1:15 swung win probability 73% → 30%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Utah State Aggies lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 16 | 15 | 24 | 10 | 7 | 72 |
| Utah State Aggies | 12 | 21 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 1:15 swung win probability 73% → 30%.
Why Utah State Aggies lost
- Lost Q3 16-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q1 4:52 (win probability 63% → 31% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 18-9.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 9–0 | Q1 4:52 | 63% → 31% |
| Utah State Aggies | 11–0 | Q2 1:30 | 14% → 51% |
| Utah State Aggies | 8–0 | Q3 4:49 | 59% → 90% |
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 8–0 | Q3 1:15 | 73% → 30% |