Utah State Aggies 43, Grand Canyon Lopes 63
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: Grand Canyon Lopes
Grand Canyon Lopes defeated Utah State Aggies 63–43 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 20-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q1 6:09 swung win probability 69% → 39%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Utah State Aggies lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State Aggies | 12 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 43 |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 12 | 13 | 15 | 23 | 63 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q1 6:09 swung win probability 69% → 39%.
Why Utah State Aggies lost
- Lost Q4 12-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 18-0 run ending at Q4 5:09 (win probability 84% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 25-16.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 15-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State Aggies | 8–0 | Q1 6:09 | 69% → 39% |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 18–0 | Q4 5:09 | 84% → 100% |