Grand Canyon Lopes 65, UNLV Lady Rebels 74
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-14 · Winner: UNLV Lady Rebels
UNLV Lady Rebels defeated Grand Canyon Lopes 74–65 on 2026-02-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q3 9:46 swung win probability 91% → 59%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Grand Canyon Lopes lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 12 | 17 | 21 | 15 | 65 |
| UNLV Lady Rebels | 21 | 10 | 26 | 17 | 74 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q3 9:46 swung win probability 91% → 59%.
Why Grand Canyon Lopes lost
- Lost Q1 12-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 6:10 (win probability 92% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 16-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 8–0 | Q2 6:38 | 92% → 72% |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 9–0 | Q3 9:46 | 91% → 59% |
| UNLV Lady Rebels | 8–0 | Q3 4:08 | 63% → 94% |
| UNLV Lady Rebels | 10–0 | Q4 6:10 | 92% → 100% |