Grand Canyon Lopes 75, New Mexico Lobos 62
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: Grand Canyon Lopes
Grand Canyon Lopes defeated New Mexico Lobos 75–62 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 13-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at Q2 3:28 swung win probability 68% → 20%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why New Mexico Lobos lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 14 | 27 | 13 | 21 | 75 |
| New Mexico Lobos | 13 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 62 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at Q2 3:28 swung win probability 68% → 20%.
Why New Mexico Lobos lost
- Lost Q2 17-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q2 3:28 (win probability 68% → 20% for the home side).
- Shot 42.3% eFG vs a 46.5% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 11–0 | Q2 3:28 | 68% → 20% |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 9–0 | Q4 6:30 | 5% → 0% |