Fresno State Bulldogs 64, Grand Canyon Lopes 71
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-10 · Winner: Grand Canyon Lopes
Grand Canyon Lopes defeated Fresno State Bulldogs 71–64 on 2026-01-10 in NCAA Women's play, a 7-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:42 swung win probability 42% → 92%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Fresno State Bulldogs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 17 | 20 | 16 | 11 | 64 |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 21 | 18 | 12 | 20 | 71 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:42 swung win probability 42% → 92%.
Why Fresno State Bulldogs lost
- Lost Q4 11-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q1 1:37 (win probability 65% → 90% for the home side).
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 9–0 | Q1 1:37 | 65% → 90% |
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 10–0 | Q2 8:49 | 90% → 61% |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 8–0 | Q4 7:42 | 42% → 92% |