Colorado State Rams 61, Grand Canyon Lopes 47
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-31 · Winner: Colorado State Rams
Colorado State Rams defeated Grand Canyon Lopes 61–47 on 2025-12-31 in NCAA Women's play, a 14-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q2 8:36 swung win probability 61% → 27%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Grand Canyon Lopes lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado State Rams | 11 | 17 | 21 | 12 | 61 |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 7 | 15 | 8 | 17 | 47 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q2 8:36 swung win probability 61% → 27%.
Why Grand Canyon Lopes lost
- Lost Q3 8-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q3 2:13 (win probability 12% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 30.8% eFG vs a 45.1% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado State Rams | 8–0 | Q2 8:36 | 61% → 27% |
| Colorado State Rams | 9–0 | Q3 2:13 | 12% → 0% |