Grand Canyon Lopes 79, San José State Spartans 59
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-28 · Winner: Grand Canyon Lopes
Grand Canyon Lopes defeated San José State Spartans 79–59 on 2025-12-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 20-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at Q2 2:55 swung win probability 76% → 23%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why San José State Spartans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 15 | 22 | 23 | 19 | 79 |
| San José State Spartans | 13 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 59 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at Q2 2:55 swung win probability 76% → 23%.
Why San José State Spartans lost
- Lost Q3 14-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q2 2:55 (win probability 76% → 23% for the home side).
- Shot 33.9% eFG vs a 39.7% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| San José State Spartans | 8–0 | Q2 7:02 | 36% → 68% |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 12–0 | Q2 2:55 | 76% → 23% |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 8–0 | Q3 6:13 | 36% → 6% |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 8–0 | Q4 8:17 | 3% → 0% |
| Grand Canyon Lopes | 9–0 | Q4 4:16 | 0% → 0% |