San José State Spartans 41, Nevada Wolf Pack 49
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-25 · Winner: Nevada Wolf Pack
Nevada Wolf Pack defeated San José State Spartans 49–41 on 2026-02-25 in NCAA Women's play, a 8-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q3 6:17 swung win probability 84% → 35%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why San José State Spartans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San José State Spartans | 10 | 4 | 17 | 10 | 41 |
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 14 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 49 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q3 6:17 swung win probability 84% → 35%.
Why San José State Spartans lost
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q3 4:46 (win probability 35% → 79% for the home side).
- Shot 31.8% eFG vs a 39.7% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 21-12.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-11.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| San José State Spartans | 10–0 | Q3 6:17 | 84% → 35% |
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 8–0 | Q3 4:46 | 35% → 79% |