Fresno State Bulldogs 54, Nevada Wolf Pack 44
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: Fresno State Bulldogs
Fresno State Bulldogs defeated Nevada Wolf Pack 54–44 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 10-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 1:23 swung win probability 72% → 30%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Nevada Wolf Pack lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 9 | 14 | 12 | 19 | 54 |
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 11 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 44 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 1:23 swung win probability 72% → 30%.
Why Nevada Wolf Pack lost
- Lost Q4 12-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q4 4:58 (win probability 36% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 29.4% eFG vs a 41.8% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 9–0 | Q2 8:16 | 41% → 76% |
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 9–0 | Q2 1:23 | 72% → 30% |
| Fresno State Bulldogs | 15–0 | Q4 4:58 | 36% → 0% |
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 9–0 | Q4 0:15 | 0% → 0% |