Utah State Aggies 40, Nevada Wolf Pack 58
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: Nevada Wolf Pack
Nevada Wolf Pack defeated Utah State Aggies 58–40 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Women's play, a 18-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:03 swung win probability 65% → 92%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Utah State Aggies lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State Aggies | 11 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 40 |
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 16 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 58 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:03 swung win probability 65% → 92%.
Why Utah State Aggies lost
- Lost Q4 13-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 6:03 (win probability 65% → 92% for the home side).
- Shot 27.8% eFG vs a 42.7% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 18-10 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada Wolf Pack | 9–0 | Q2 6:03 | 65% → 92% |