New Mexico Lobos 35, Boise State Broncos 63
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: Boise State Broncos
Boise State Broncos defeated New Mexico Lobos 63–35 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 28-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:17 swung win probability 64% → 97%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why New Mexico Lobos lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico Lobos | 8 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 35 |
| Boise State Broncos | 12 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 63 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 1:17 swung win probability 64% → 97%.
Why New Mexico Lobos lost
- Lost Q3 4-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q3 2:47 (win probability 95% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 28.6% eFG vs a 46.5% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 11-3 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State Broncos | 12–0 | Q2 1:17 | 64% → 97% |
| Boise State Broncos | 14–0 | Q3 2:47 | 95% → 100% |
| Boise State Broncos | 9–0 | Q4 1:58 | 100% → 100% |