Boise State Broncos 63, New Mexico Lobos 70
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-17 · Winner: New Mexico Lobos
New Mexico Lobos defeated Boise State Broncos 70–63 on 2025-12-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 7-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q4 4:22 swung win probability 12% → 96%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Boise State Broncos lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State Broncos | 4 | 23 | 21 | 15 | 63 |
| New Mexico Lobos | 17 | 13 | 17 | 23 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q4 4:22 swung win probability 12% → 96%.
Why Boise State Broncos lost
- Lost Q1 4-17 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q1 2:42 (win probability 69% → 96% for the home side).
- Shot 44.2% eFG vs a 48.3% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico Lobos | 12–0 | Q1 2:42 | 69% → 96% |
| Boise State Broncos | 11–0 | Q2 4:00 | 94% → 64% |
| New Mexico Lobos | 12–0 | Q4 4:22 | 12% → 96% |