Rider Broncs 37, Merrimack Warriors 73
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-07 · Winner: Merrimack Warriors
Merrimack Warriors defeated Rider Broncs 73–37 on 2026-02-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 36-point result. A 17-0 home team run ending at Q2 4:11 swung win probability 41% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Rider Broncs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rider Broncs | 14 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 37 |
| Merrimack Warriors | 17 | 14 | 19 | 23 | 73 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 17-0 home team run ending at Q2 4:11 swung win probability 41% → 95%.
Why Rider Broncs lost
- Lost Q4 8-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 18-0 run ending at Q4 5:10 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 30.2% eFG vs a 40.9% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 21-15.
- Outscored 14-2 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors | 17–0 | Q2 4:11 | 41% → 95% |
| Merrimack Warriors | 18–0 | Q4 5:10 | 100% → 100% |