Western New Mexico Mustangs 44, New Mexico State Aggies 76
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-14 · Winner: New Mexico State Aggies
New Mexico State Aggies defeated Western New Mexico Mustangs 76–44 on 2025-12-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 32-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q2 4:32 swung win probability 89% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Western New Mexico Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western New Mexico Mustangs | 8 | 8 | 17 | 11 | 44 |
| New Mexico State Aggies | 19 | 19 | 26 | 12 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q2 4:32 swung win probability 89% → 99%.
Why Western New Mexico Mustangs lost
- Lost Q1 8-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q3 8:44 (win probability 98% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 30.4% eFG vs a 35.6% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 24-15.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State Aggies | 10–0 | Q2 4:32 | 89% → 99% |
| New Mexico State Aggies | 12–0 | Q3 8:44 | 98% → 100% |
| Western New Mexico Mustangs | 9–0 | Q4 2:31 | 100% → 100% |