Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine 56, Montana State Bobcats 72
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-20 · Winner: Montana State Bobcats
Montana State Bobcats defeated Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine 72–56 on 2025-12-20 in NCAA Women's play, a 16-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 4:30 swung win probability 48% → 83%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine | 11 | 6 | 21 | 18 | 56 |
| Montana State Bobcats | 11 | 23 | 13 | 25 | 72 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 4:30 swung win probability 48% → 83%.
Why Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine lost
- Lost Q2 6-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q3 9:48 (win probability 80% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 29-14.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montana State Bobcats | 9–0 | Q2 4:30 | 48% → 83% |
| Montana State Bobcats | 14–0 | Q3 9:48 | 80% → 100% |
| Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine | 10–0 | Q4 9:45 | 100% → 90% |
| Montana State Bobcats | 11–0 | Q4 2:19 | 100% → 100% |