Morgan State Lady Bears 56, UCF Knights 78
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-14 · Winner: UCF Knights
UCF Knights defeated Morgan State Lady Bears 78–56 on 2025-12-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 22-point result. A 15-0 home team run ending at Q2 9:16 swung win probability 54% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Morgan State Lady Bears lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan State Lady Bears | 10 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 56 |
| UCF Knights | 21 | 17 | 17 | 23 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 home team run ending at Q2 9:16 swung win probability 54% → 95%.
Why Morgan State Lady Bears lost
- Lost Q1 10-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q2 9:16 (win probability 54% → 95% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 23-15.
- Outscored 19-9 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCF Knights | 15–0 | Q2 9:16 | 54% → 95% |
| UCF Knights | 10–0 | Q4 6:32 | 100% → 100% |