VCU Rams 62, Dayton Flyers 79
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: Dayton Flyers
Dayton Flyers defeated VCU Rams 79–62 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 17-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:11 swung win probability 48% → 79%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why VCU Rams lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VCU Rams | 20 | 10 | 15 | 17 | 62 |
| Dayton Flyers | 17 | 20 | 23 | 19 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:11 swung win probability 48% → 79%.
Why VCU Rams lost
- Lost Q2 10-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q3 4:09 (win probability 91% → 100% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dayton Flyers | 8–0 | Q2 6:11 | 48% → 79% |
| Dayton Flyers | 13–0 | Q3 4:09 | 91% → 100% |