Dayton Flyers 67, Davidson Wildcats 79
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: Davidson Wildcats
Davidson Wildcats defeated Dayton Flyers 79–67 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 12-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:33 swung win probability 58% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Dayton Flyers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayton Flyers | 12 | 15 | 13 | 27 | 67 |
| Davidson Wildcats | 20 | 26 | 19 | 14 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 5:33 swung win probability 58% → 86%.
Why Dayton Flyers lost
- Lost Q2 15-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q1 5:33 (win probability 58% → 86% for the home side).
- Shot 42.6% eFG vs a 49.1% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Davidson Wildcats | 9–0 | Q1 5:33 | 58% → 86% |
| Davidson Wildcats | 8–0 | Q3 5:47 | 100% → 100% |
| Dayton Flyers | 10–0 | Q4 2:33 | 100% → 100% |