Saint Louis Billikens 63, Dayton Flyers 65
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-14 · Winner: Dayton Flyers
Dayton Flyers defeated Saint Louis Billikens 65–63 on 2026-02-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 2-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:10 swung win probability 0% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Saint Louis Billikens lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Louis Billikens | 19 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 63 |
| Dayton Flyers | 13 | 16 | 12 | 24 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:10 swung win probability 0% → 100%.
Why Saint Louis Billikens lost
- Lost Q4 12-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q3 1:38 (win probability 1% → 12% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 25-20.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Louis Billikens | 9–0 | Q2 8:29 | 65% → 28% |
| Saint Louis Billikens | 9–0 | Q3 4:25 | 23% → 1% |
| Dayton Flyers | 8–0 | Q3 1:38 | 1% → 12% |
| Dayton Flyers | 8–0 | Q4 0:10 | 0% → 100% |