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St. Bonaventure Bonnies 71, Dayton Flyers 75

NCAA Women's · 2026-01-28 · Winner: Dayton Flyers

Dayton Flyers defeated St. Bonaventure Bonnies 75–71 on 2026-01-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 4-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 5:23 swung win probability 98% → 55%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why St. Bonaventure Bonnies lost.

Linescore

Q1Q2Q3Q4Final
St. Bonaventure Bonnies1217212171
Dayton Flyers1517232075

Win probability

Dayton Flyers win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (Dayton Flyers) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 5:23 swung win probability 98% → 55%.
Why St. Bonaventure Bonnies lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
St. Bonaventure Bonnies9–0Q4 5:2398% → 55%

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