Dayton Flyers 75, Duquesne Dukes 58
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-21 · Winner: Dayton Flyers
Dayton Flyers defeated Duquesne Dukes 75–58 on 2026-01-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 17-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at Q1 6:24 swung win probability 51% → 12%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Duquesne Dukes lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayton Flyers | 22 | 17 | 21 | 15 | 75 |
| Duquesne Dukes | 6 | 12 | 28 | 12 | 58 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at Q1 6:24 swung win probability 51% → 12%.
Why Duquesne Dukes lost
- Lost Q1 6-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q1 6:24 (win probability 51% → 12% for the home side).
- Shot 38.5% eFG vs a 43.7% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dayton Flyers | 12–0 | Q1 6:24 | 51% → 12% |