Dayton Flyers 58, Saint Louis Billikens 62
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-18 · Winner: Saint Louis Billikens
Saint Louis Billikens defeated Dayton Flyers 62–58 on 2026-01-18 in NCAA Women's play, a 4-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 4:14 swung win probability 69% → 92%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Dayton Flyers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayton Flyers | 9 | 8 | 16 | 25 | 58 |
| Saint Louis Billikens | 18 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 62 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q1 4:14 swung win probability 69% → 92%.
Why Dayton Flyers lost
- Lost Q1 9-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q1 4:14 (win probability 69% → 92% for the home side).
- Shot 40.2% eFG vs a 49.1% season average - a cold night.
- Outscored 18-9 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Louis Billikens | 9–0 | Q1 4:14 | 69% → 92% |
| Dayton Flyers | 8–0 | Q4 6:14 | 100% → 93% |