Duquesne Dukes 54, VCU Rams 61
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-11 · Winner: VCU Rams
VCU Rams defeated Duquesne Dukes 61–54 on 2026-01-11 in NCAA Women's play, a 7-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:39 swung win probability 15% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Duquesne Dukes lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duquesne Dukes | 12 | 18 | 20 | 4 | 54 |
| VCU Rams | 10 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 61 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:39 swung win probability 15% → 100%.
Why Duquesne Dukes lost
- Lost Q4 4-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q4 0:39 (win probability 15% → 100% for the home side).
- Outscored 18-9 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duquesne Dukes | 8–0 | Q2 5:09 | 60% → 25% |
| VCU Rams | 8–0 | Q2 2:20 | 25% → 59% |
| VCU Rams | 11–0 | Q4 0:39 | 15% → 100% |