VCU Rams 50, Saint Louis Billikens 39
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-07 · Winner: VCU Rams
VCU Rams defeated Saint Louis Billikens 50–39 on 2026-01-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 11-point result. A 17-0 road team run ending at Q4 4:42 swung win probability 43% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Saint Louis Billikens lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VCU Rams | 16 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 50 |
| Saint Louis Billikens | 8 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 39 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 17-0 road team run ending at Q4 4:42 swung win probability 43% → 0%.
Why Saint Louis Billikens lost
- Lost Q1 8-16 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 17-0 run ending at Q4 4:42 (win probability 43% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 23.4% eFG vs a 41.9% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Louis Billikens | 8–0 | Q3 6:42 | 15% → 47% |
| VCU Rams | 17–0 | Q4 4:42 | 43% → 0% |
| Saint Louis Billikens | 8–0 | Q4 0:28 | 0% → 0% |