St. Bonaventure Bonnies 46, Duquesne Dukes 38
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-07 · Winner: St. Bonaventure Bonnies
St. Bonaventure Bonnies defeated Duquesne Dukes 46–38 on 2026-01-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 8-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 9:34 swung win probability 88% → 41%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Duquesne Dukes lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 5 | 10 | 17 | 14 | 46 |
| Duquesne Dukes | 11 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 38 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 9:34 swung win probability 88% → 41%.
Why Duquesne Dukes lost
- Lost Q4 6-14 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q4 9:34 (win probability 88% → 41% for the home side).
- Shot 27.3% eFG vs a 43.7% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duquesne Dukes | 8–0 | Q3 8:30 | 64% → 92% |
| St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 8–0 | Q4 9:34 | 88% → 41% |