George Mason Patriots 68, VCU Rams 58
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-04 · Winner: George Mason Patriots
George Mason Patriots defeated VCU Rams 68–58 on 2026-01-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 10-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q1 5:05 swung win probability 72% → 35%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why VCU Rams lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Mason Patriots | 15 | 18 | 19 | 16 | 68 |
| VCU Rams | 8 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 58 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q1 5:05 swung win probability 72% → 35%.
Why VCU Rams lost
- Lost Q3 7-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q1 5:05 (win probability 72% → 35% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| George Mason Patriots | 10–0 | Q1 5:05 | 72% → 35% |
| George Mason Patriots | 10–0 | Q3 5:05 | 9% → 0% |
| VCU Rams | 8–0 | Q4 5:55 | 0% → 0% |
| VCU Rams | 10–0 | Q4 0:31 | 0% → 0% |