Dayton Flyers 59, George Mason Patriots 74
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-31 · Winner: George Mason Patriots
George Mason Patriots defeated Dayton Flyers 74–59 on 2025-12-31 in NCAA Women's play, a 15-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 7:50 swung win probability 84% → 99%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Dayton Flyers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dayton Flyers | 17 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 59 |
| George Mason Patriots | 19 | 13 | 23 | 19 | 74 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q3 7:50 swung win probability 84% → 99%.
Why Dayton Flyers lost
- Lost Q3 15-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q3 7:50 (win probability 84% → 99% for the home side).
- Shot 41.7% eFG vs a 49.1% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 24-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| George Mason Patriots | 9–0 | Q3 7:50 | 84% → 99% |