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Seattle U Redhawks 59, Saint Mary's Gaels 86

NCAA Women's · 2026-02-16 · Winner: Saint Mary's Gaels

Saint Mary's Gaels defeated Seattle U Redhawks 86–59 on 2026-02-16 in NCAA Women's play, a 27-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:15 swung win probability 37% → 83%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Seattle U Redhawks lost.

Linescore

Q1Q2Q3Q4Final
Seattle U Redhawks1710161659
Saint Mary's Gaels1328232286

Win probability

Saint Mary's Gaels win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (Saint Mary's Gaels) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 6:15 swung win probability 37% → 83%.
Why Seattle U Redhawks lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
Saint Mary's Gaels12–0Q2 6:1537% → 83%
Saint Mary's Gaels8–0Q2 3:1276% → 96%
Saint Mary's Gaels10–0Q3 2:00100% → 100%
Saint Mary's Gaels8–0Q4 8:10100% → 100%

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