Pacific Tigers 56, Saint Mary's Gaels 53
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-12 · Winner: Pacific Tigers
Pacific Tigers defeated Saint Mary's Gaels 56–53 on 2026-02-12 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 8:29 swung win probability 26% → 64%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Saint Mary's Gaels lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacific Tigers | 12 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 56 |
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 8 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 53 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q3 8:29 swung win probability 26% → 64%.
Why Saint Mary's Gaels lost
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q2 7:31 (win probability 52% → 20% for the home side).
- Shot 39.3% eFG vs a 45.7% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pacific Tigers | 8–0 | Q2 7:31 | 52% → 20% |
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 8–0 | Q3 8:29 | 26% → 64% |