Pacific Tigers 53, Pepperdine Waves 71
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-15 · Winner: Pepperdine Waves
Pepperdine Waves defeated Pacific Tigers 71–53 on 2026-01-15 in NCAA Women's play, a 18-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 8:55 swung win probability 82% → 96%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Pacific Tigers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pacific Tigers | 11 | 15 | 16 | 11 | 53 |
| Pepperdine Waves | 21 | 16 | 20 | 14 | 71 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 8:55 swung win probability 82% → 96%.
Why Pacific Tigers lost
- Lost Q1 11-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 2:43 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 36.6% eFG vs a 46.5% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 14-7.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pepperdine Waves | 8–0 | Q2 8:55 | 82% → 96% |
| Pepperdine Waves | 9–0 | Q3 2:35 | 98% → 100% |
| Pacific Tigers | 9–0 | Q4 8:38 | 100% → 100% |
| Pepperdine Waves | 10–0 | Q4 2:43 | 100% → 100% |