Saint Mary's Gaels 60, Pacific Tigers 55
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-08 · Winner: Saint Mary's Gaels
Saint Mary's Gaels defeated Pacific Tigers 60–55 on 2026-01-08 in NCAA Women's play, a 5-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:21 swung win probability 53% → 91%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Pacific Tigers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 11 | 16 | 10 | 23 | 60 |
| Pacific Tigers | 14 | 18 | 15 | 8 | 55 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:21 swung win probability 53% → 91%.
Why Pacific Tigers lost
- Lost Q4 8-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 6:14 (win probability 99% → 72% for the home side).
- Shot 40.7% eFG vs a 46.5% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 21-17.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pacific Tigers | 12–0 | Q2 7:21 | 53% → 91% |
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 10–0 | Q4 6:14 | 99% → 72% |