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Saint Mary's Gaels 57, San Diego Toreros 49

NCAA Women's · 2026-01-04 · Winner: Saint Mary's Gaels

Saint Mary's Gaels defeated San Diego Toreros 57–49 on 2026-01-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 8-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 5:43 swung win probability 0% → 4%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why San Diego Toreros lost.

Linescore

Q1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saint Mary's Gaels1618101357
San Diego Toreros81182249

Win probability

San Diego Toreros win probability 100% 0% end tip-off
Home team (San Diego Toreros) win probability through the game. 50% dashed line = coin flip.
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 5:43 swung win probability 0% → 4%.
Why San Diego Toreros lost

Scoring runs

TeamRunEndsWin-prob swing
San Diego Toreros9–0Q4 5:430% → 4%

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