Saint Mary's Gaels 52, Pepperdine Waves 60
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-02 · Winner: Pepperdine Waves
Pepperdine Waves defeated Saint Mary's Gaels 60–52 on 2026-01-02 in NCAA Women's play, a 8-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at Q3 6:36 swung win probability 77% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Saint Mary's Gaels lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 4 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 52 |
| Pepperdine Waves | 13 | 15 | 19 | 13 | 60 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at Q3 6:36 swung win probability 77% → 100%.
Why Saint Mary's Gaels lost
- Lost Q1 4-13 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q3 6:36 (win probability 77% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 34.9% eFG vs a 45.7% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pepperdine Waves | 13–0 | Q3 6:36 | 77% → 100% |
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 9–0 | Q4 3:03 | 100% → 98% |