Oregon State Beavers 63, Saint Mary's Gaels 57
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-30 · Winner: Oregon State Beavers
Oregon State Beavers defeated Saint Mary's Gaels 63–57 on 2025-12-30 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 3:36 swung win probability 88% → 13%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Saint Mary's Gaels lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon State Beavers | 12 | 17 | 9 | 25 | 63 |
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 17 | 8 | 14 | 18 | 57 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 3:36 swung win probability 88% → 13%.
Why Saint Mary's Gaels lost
- Lost Q2 8-17 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 3:36 (win probability 88% → 13% for the home side).
- Outscored 19-8 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 8–0 | Q1 4:59 | 44% → 72% |
| Oregon State Beavers | 8–0 | Q2 0:02 | 77% → 39% |
| Saint Mary's Gaels | 10–0 | Q4 8:50 | 26% → 87% |
| Oregon State Beavers | 9–0 | Q4 3:36 | 88% → 13% |